International IDEA: Securing Tomorrow: The Democratic Gaps in the Pact for the Future

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By Annika Silva-Leander 

https://www.idea.int/news/securing-tomorrow-democratic-gaps-pact-future

 

The Pact for the Future, set to be endorsed at the United Nations Summit of the Future on 22-23 September in New York, is a pivotal framework designed to address global challenges with a long-term vision extending beyond 2030. It includes two annexes: the Global Digital Compact and the Declaration on Future Generations, focusing on digital governance and the rights of future generations. The Pact’s five broad focus areas include: sustainable development; international peace and security; science and technology; youth and future generations, and transforming global governance. This comprehensive framework is critical as it proposes reforms to global institutions like the UN, aiming to tackle issues such as climate change and peace and security amid increasing geopolitical tensions.

However, one of the key global challenges missing from the Pact is the decline of democracy, a pressing issue that has significant implications for the other areas the Pact seeks to address. International IDEA’s Global State of Democracy Report 2024: Strengthening the Legitimacy of Elections in a Time of Radical Uncertainty highlights how democratic decline and rising authoritarianism are undermining political rights and civic space, which are fundamental for achieving the Pact’s goals on peace, security, and sustainable development. 

More specifically, looking at the Pact from a democracy lens, some key findings stand out, including critical gaps:   

Global Threats to Democracy: The Pact fails to explicitly address the rise of authoritarianism and the global decline in democracy, both of which contribute to global instability. While the Pact discusses the need to democratize global governance systems, including the UN Security Council, it does not recognize the critical importance of democratic governance at the national level (the four mentions of democracy in the Pact refer solely to multilateral governance).  

Democratic Institutions: While the Pact acknowledges institutions like parliaments and civil society organizations, it fails to explicitly acknowledge the role of democratic institutions in ensuring political stability, peace, and accountability, and also overlooks the crucial role of electoral bodies. These institutions are essential for conflict prevention and sustainable development, and the Pact should include stronger commitments to protect them. 

Civil Society: Although the Pact emphasizes the need for stronger partnerships with civil society and the need to protect human rights organizations from reprisals, it falls short in acknowledging the increasing repression faced by civil society in many parts of the world. And by using the wording “in accordance with national legislation” it fails to acknowledge how national legislation is increasingly used to curtail civic space.  

Media Freedom: The Pact highlights the need to protect journalists, but only within the context of conflict zones. It does not adequately address the broader global threats to media freedom or freedom of expression, and the critical impact this has on achieving the goals of the Pact – a free media plays a crucial role in ensuring independent scrutiny of policies needed to implement the Pact. It also fails to acknowledge the damaging impact of disinformation (potentially turbocharged by Artificial Intelligence -AI) on democratic processes. The need to protect journalists should extend beyond conflict settings and the Pact should recognize that disinformation weakens the democratic fabric of societies and electoral processes, and that combatting it should be carefully balanced with the right to free speech.  

Inclusive Governance: The Pact acknowledges the importance of women and youth participation, but it fails to make a broader connection to the need for inclusive political participation and to recognize the importance of inclusive governance for preventing conflict and promoting sustainable peace. 

Electoral Integrity: The importance of free and fair elections is missing from the Pact. Electoral bodies are key to ensuring peaceful transitions of power, and the Pact should call for international support to strengthen the integrity of electoral processes and safeguard independent electoral bodies. 

Independent Judiciaries: While the Pact emphasizes justice and the rule of law, it does not adequately address increasing threats to judicial independence around the world. Protecting courts from political control is vital for sustaining peace and security, and the Pact should highlight the importance of independent judiciaries as a pillar of democratic governance. 

The Global Digital Compact (GDC) (Annex 1) seeks to establish shared international principles for the use of emerging digital technologies addressing issues such as digital connectivity, data protection, digital rights, and equitable access to technology globally. While the final GDC recognizes human rights and the need for safe digital spaces, critical gaps remain. It falls short in providing robust protections for electoral integrity and safeguarding against digital repression. The lack of strong, legally binding language for human rights oversight also limits its ability to address human rights abuses effectively in the digital realm. While the final GDC recognizes that digital cooperation is multi-stakeholder, it remains vague on how the multi-stakeholder approach will be implemented, including for AI governance.  

The Declaration on Future Generations (Annex 2) upholds human rights and inclusivity and recognizes the importance of political rights. However, it does not explicitly emphasize the importance of inclusive political participation for groups such as women, youth, and people with disabilities and other marginalized groups in democratic processes. 

The Pact for the Future has the potential to reshape global governance and address pressing global challenges, but it requires a stronger emphasis on democratic institutions, inclusive governance, and civil liberties. Without addressing the rise of authoritarianism and the erosion of democratic systems, the Pact may fall short in achieving sustainable peace, security, and development. To build a more just and stable world for future generations, the future of democracy must be prioritized in the Pact. 

 

 

Disclaimer: Opinions expressed in this commentary are those of the author and do not necessarily represent the institutional position of International IDEA, its Board of Advisers or its Council of Member States. 

 

 

 

 

Dr Annika Silva-Leander is Head of North America at International IDEA where she oversees International IDEA’s outreach in the region, including relations with US government agencies, democracy assistance organizations and academic institutions, its engagement with the United Nations, and coordination of the Global Democracy Coalition. She is also International IDEA’s Permanent Observer to the United Nations, representing International IDEA at the UN General Assembly as a leading voice and advocate on democracy. She heads International IDEA's offices in Washington, DC and New York, USA. From 2021 to 2023, when hosted by the United States, she also oversaw International IDEA’s engagement in the Summits for Democracy.

As an opinion-builder on democracy, she also contributes to the global democracy debate through her analysis and speaking engagements on the state of democracy globally, in the context of the UN and other global fora of relevance to the global democracy discussions.    

Between 2018 and 2021, Silva-Leander was the Head of the Democracy Assessment Unit in Stockholm, where she led International IDEA’s Global State of Democracy report, as lead author, editor and Programme head. She also oversaw the production of the annually updated Global State of Democracy Indices and the implementation of the Covid-19 Global Monitor on Democracy and Human Rights. From 2015 to 2018, she worked as the Senior Adviser to the Secretary-General of International IDEA.

Prior to joining International IDEA, Silva-Leander worked for 10 years as a Social Development Specialist at the World Bank, on civic engagement and poverty reduction in Asia, Latin America and Africa. During her nine years in Asia, she worked for the World Bank, UNICEF and UNDP. She started her career at the AVINA Foundation in Costa Rica, managing grants to civil society organizations in Latin America.

Annika Silva-Leander is a member of the Advisory Board for Georgetown University’s Department of Government MA Programs (American Government, Conflict Resolution, and Democracy & Governance).

She holds a PhD from the London School of Economics and Political Science and is a Swedish-Chilean global citizen who grew up in France.

Expertise
Global democracy assessment and measurement; civic space; impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on democracy; governance and development; multilateralism and democracy.
Education
PhD in Social Policy (London School of Economics, UK); MPhil in Development Studies (University of Sussex, UK); MSc in Latin American Public Policy (University of Oxford, UK); BA in Political Science (University of Stockholm, Sweden)
Languages
English, French, Spanish, Swedish
Location
New York, USA and Washington, DC, USA


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